Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032258 0.035388 0.038568 0.042033 0.045698 0.049451 0.053578
2025-08-17 0.026532 0.031021 0.035764 0.041124 0.046987 0.053181 0.060194
2025-08-24 0.022318 0.027693 0.033581 0.040449 0.048182 0.056564 0.066279
2025-08-31 0.020112 0.026281 0.033250 0.041596 0.051213 0.061848 0.074399
2025-09-07 0.018156 0.024913 0.032766 0.042397 0.053725 0.066470 0.081740
2025-09-14 0.016388 0.023570 0.032147 0.042897 0.055777 0.070493 0.088360
2025-09-21 0.014713 0.022172 0.031317 0.043023 0.057289 0.073821 0.094134
2025-09-28 0.013789 0.021629 0.031457 0.044256 0.060076 0.078616 0.101613
2025-10-05 0.012193 0.020065 0.030197 0.043658 0.060562 0.080624 0.105770
2025-10-12 0.011061 0.019026 0.029527 0.043725 0.061805 0.083496 0.110928
2025-10-19 0.010252 0.018363 0.029290 0.044298 0.063641 0.087064 0.116914
2025-10-26 0.009669 0.017973 0.029378 0.045262 0.065951 0.091208 0.123604
2025-11-02 0.008193 0.016171 0.027475 0.043563 0.064859 0.091178 0.125270
2025-11-09 0.007270 0.015126 0.026557 0.043124 0.065349 0.093093 0.129314
2025-11-16 0.006435 0.014140 0.025662 0.042664 0.065774 0.094902 0.133220
2025-11-23 0.006165 0.014049 0.026050 0.043968 0.068527 0.099669 0.140832
2025-11-30 0.005807 0.013778 0.026151 0.044857 0.070724 0.103736 0.147587
2025-12-07 0.005394 0.013373 0.026023 0.045404 0.072452 0.107204 0.153603
2025-12-14 0.004922 0.012819 0.025632 0.045547 0.073619 0.109940 0.158700
2025-12-21 0.004742 0.012782 0.026035 0.046835 0.076348 0.114714 0.166403
2025-12-28 0.004176 0.011962 0.025158 0.046217 0.076435 0.116031 0.169695
2026-01-04 0.003797 0.011463 0.024766 0.046288 0.077458 0.118563 0.174542
2026-01-11 0.003547 0.011196 0.024733 0.046883 0.079204 0.122047 0.180618